SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Sam McCoy v Charlie Lee (Wed 05 Feb 2014)

Match won by Sam McCoy. Result: 15-11,10-15,15-13,15-7.

Starting level for Sam McCoy: 1,987, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Starting level for Charlie Lee: 1,988, level confidence: 53%.
Charlie Lee to win as he is currently playing 0% better than Sam McCoy.

Sam McCoy won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 20% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Sam McCoy played 23% better than Charlie Lee in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Sam McCoy actually played at a level of 2,206 and Charlie Lee at a level of 1,791. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Sam McCoy changes to +7.1% and Charlie Lee changes to -11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Sam McCoy becomes +3.8% and for Charlie Lee becomes -5.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2013/2014' so the adjustment for Sam McCoy is +2.9% and for Charlie Lee is -4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Sam McCoy: 90%, Charlie Lee: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Sam McCoy: 81%, Charlie Lee: 65%.

A final adjustment of +0.8% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Sam McCoy: 2,041, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Charlie Lee: 1,945, level confidence: 65%.