SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Eddie S Stewart v Rob Holmes (Wed 20 Sep 2017)

Match won by Rob Holmes. Result: 3-9,3-9,9-6,5-9.

Starting level for Eddie S Stewart: 953, level confidence: 24%.
Starting level for Rob Holmes: 1,804, level confidence: 42%.
Rob Holmes to win as he is currently playing 89% better than Eddie S Stewart.

Rob Holmes won 75% of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 29% (english scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rob Holmes played 26% better than Eddie S Stewart in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Rob Holmes was taking it easy by anything up to 11%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 1,402 and 1,804 without affecting his level.

As Rob Holmes has played below his allowed range at 1,299, his level reduction is 7.9% before damping. On the assumption that Rob Holmes would normally have been playing at level 1,613 (based on typical behaviour), Eddie S Stewart played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 16%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.7% and 11% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rob Holmes changes to -3.2% and Eddie S Stewart changes to +11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rob Holmes becomes -2.5% and for Eddie S Stewart becomes +7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hampshire Mens League 2017/2018' so the adjustment for Rob Holmes is -1.9% and for Eddie S Stewart is +5.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rob Holmes: 64%, Eddie S Stewart: 49%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rob Holmes: 53%, Eddie S Stewart: 40%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Eddie S Stewart: 1,002, level confidence: 40%.
Final level for Rob Holmes: 1,768, level confidence: 53%.