SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Charlie Lee v Brogan Lane (Thu 22 Feb 2018)

Match won by Charlie Lee. Result: 15-9,15-6,12-15,15-6.

Starting level for Charlie Lee: 2,308, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for Brogan Lane: 2,092, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Charlie Lee to win as he is currently playing 10% better than Brogan Lane.

Charlie Lee won 75% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 58% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charlie Lee played 36% better than Brogan Lane in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Charlie Lee actually played at a level of 2,563 and Brogan Lane at a level of 1,884. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Charlie Lee changes to +10.5% and Brogan Lane changes to -6.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Charlie Lee becomes +4.9% and for Brogan Lane becomes -3.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire League 2017/2018' so the adjustment for Charlie Lee is +3.6% and for Brogan Lane is -2.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charlie Lee: 69%, Brogan Lane: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charlie Lee: 62%, Brogan Lane: 77%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Charlie Lee: 2,388, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Brogan Lane: 2,033, level confidence: 77%.