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Elvin Booth v Simon Udal (Mon 26 Mar 2018)

Match won by Simon Udal. Result: 4-9,6-9,2-9.

Starting level for Elvin Booth: 1,182, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Simon Udal: 1,846, level confidence: 67%.
Simon Udal to win as he is currently playing 56% better than Elvin Booth.

Simon Udal won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 51% (english scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Udal played 52% better than Elvin Booth in this match.

In this case, Simon Udal played at level 1,800 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Elvin Booth is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Udal: 82%, Elvin Booth: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Udal: 81%, Elvin Booth: 84%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Elvin Booth: 1,180, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Simon Udal: 1,843, level confidence: 81%.