SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joel Makin v Zahed Mohamed (Tue 20 Mar 2018)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-7,11-8,9-11,7-11,11-4.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 36,476, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Zahed Mohamed: 32,647, level confidence: 67%.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 12% better than Zahed Mohamed.

Joel Makin won 60% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 20% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 12% better than Zahed Mohamed in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Joel Makin actually played at a level of 36,582 and Zahed Mohamed at a level of 32,553. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joel Makin changes to 0% and Zahed Mohamed changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joel Makin becomes +0.1% and for Zahed Mohamed becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Wimbledon Club Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 88%, Zahed Mohamed: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 87%, Zahed Mohamed: 82%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 36,497, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Zahed Mohamed: 32,773, level confidence: 82%.