SquashLevels calculations
George Parker v Charlie Lee (Sat 21 Apr 2018)
Match won by George Parker. Result: 11-9,11-5,3-11,11-8.
Starting level for
George Parker:
33,293, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Charlie Lee:
27,591, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
George Parker to win as he is currently playing
21% better than Charlie Lee.
George Parker won 75% of the games and 52% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 9% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that George Parker played
20% better than Charlie Lee in this match.
In this case, George Parker played at level 33,040 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Charlie Lee is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. George Parker: 85%, Charlie Lee: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. George Parker: 85%, Charlie Lee: 84%.
A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for George Parker:
33,250, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Charlie Lee:
27,702, level confidence: 84%.