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Gregory Gaultier v Miguel Rodriguez (Wed 25 Apr 2018)

Match won by Gregory Gaultier. Result: 11-9,8-11,11-6,11-7.

Starting level for Gregory Gaultier: 62,058, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Miguel Rodriguez: 48,610, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Gregory Gaultier to win as he is currently playing 28% better than Miguel Rodriguez.

Gregory Gaultier won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 24% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Gregory Gaultier played 25% better than Miguel Rodriguez in this match.

In this case, Gregory Gaultier played at level 60,745 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Miguel Rodriguez is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Gregory Gaultier changes to 0% and Miguel Rodriguez changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Gregory Gaultier becomes 0% and for Miguel Rodriguez becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA El Gouna International Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Gregory Gaultier: 89%, Miguel Rodriguez: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Gregory Gaultier: 88%, Miguel Rodriguez: 83%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Gregory Gaultier: 61,925, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Miguel Rodriguez: 48,849, level confidence: 83%.