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Ramit Tandon v Shehab Essam (Fri 04 May 2018)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 17-15,6-11,11-7,11-2.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 31,142, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Shehab Essam: 26,846, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 16% better than Shehab Essam.

Ramit Tandon won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 29% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 26% better than Shehab Essam in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 32,479 and Shehab Essam at a level of 25,741. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 4.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +4% and Shehab Essam changes to -3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +1.4% and for Shehab Essam becomes -1.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Abu Dhabi Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 76%, Shehab Essam: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 73%, Shehab Essam: 83%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 31,449, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Shehab Essam: 26,630, level confidence: 83%.