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Alfredo Avila v Joseph White (Fri 04 May 2018)

Match won by Alfredo Avila. Result: 11-7,11-4,11-0.

Starting level for Alfredo Avila: 28,742, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Joseph White: 8,373, level confidence: 53%.
Alfredo Avila to win as he is currently playing 243% better than Joseph White.

Alfredo Avila won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alfredo Avila played 200% better than Joseph White in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Alfredo Avila was taking it easy by anything up to 29%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,497 and 28,742 without affecting his level.

In this case, Alfredo Avila played at level 25,119 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Joseph White is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alfredo Avila: 79%, Joseph White: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alfredo Avila: 74%, Joseph White: 68%.

Final level for Alfredo Avila: 28,742, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Joseph White: 8,373, level confidence: 68%.