Ramit Tandon v Omar Abdel Meguid (Sat 05 May 2018)
Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-6,6-11,11-3,11-2.
Starting level for
Ramit Tandon:
31,660, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Omar Abdel Meguid:
31,612, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing
0% better than Omar Abdel Meguid.
Ramit Tandon won 75% of the games and 64% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 77% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played
42% better than Omar Abdel Meguid in this match.
Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of
37,732 and Omar Abdel Meguid at a level of
26,525. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 19% to match this result.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +19% and Omar Abdel Meguid changes to -15%.
After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +4.2% and for Omar Abdel Meguid becomes -3.5%.
Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Abu Dhabi Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 85%, Omar Abdel Meguid: 94%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 72%, Omar Abdel Meguid: 79%.
A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Ramit Tandon:
32,834, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Omar Abdel Meguid:
30,980, level confidence: 79%.