SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Simon Rösner v Gregory Gaultier (Fri 11 May 2018)

Match won by Gregory Gaultier. Result: 5-11,11-7,6-11,3-11.

Starting level for Simon Rösner: 49,752, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Gregory Gaultier: 65,792, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Gregory Gaultier to win as he is currently playing 32% better than Simon Rösner.

Gregory Gaultier won 75% of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 60% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Gregory Gaultier played 37% better than Simon Rösner in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Gregory Gaultier actually played at a level of 66,856 and Simon Rösner at a level of 48,961. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.6% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.4% and 1.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Gregory Gaultier changes to +1.3% and Simon Rösner changes to -1.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Gregory Gaultier becomes +0.5% and for Simon Rösner becomes -0.5%.

Given Gregory Gaultier's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 95% has been applied to his level change.

Given Simon Rösner's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 79% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Bundesliga League' so the adjustment for Gregory Gaultier is 0% and for Simon Rösner is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Gregory Gaultier: 88%, Simon Rösner: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Gregory Gaultier: 87%, Simon Rösner: 83%.

Final level for Simon Rösner: 49,645, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Gregory Gaultier: 65,908, level confidence: 87%.