SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Carlos Cornes v Lyell Fuller (Tue 22 May 2018)

Match won by Carlos Cornes. Result: 5-11,11-2,11-5,11-6.

Starting level for Carlos Cornes: 24,298, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Lyell Fuller: 24,117, level confidence: 63%.
Carlos Cornes to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Lyell Fuller.

Carlos Cornes won 75% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 58% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Carlos Cornes played 36% better than Lyell Fuller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Carlos Cornes actually played at a level of 28,230 and Lyell Fuller at a level of 20,758. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 16% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Carlos Cornes changes to +16% and Lyell Fuller changes to -16%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Carlos Cornes becomes +3.8% and for Lyell Fuller becomes -3.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Tring Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Carlos Cornes: 79%, Lyell Fuller: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Carlos Cornes: 68%, Lyell Fuller: 68%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Carlos Cornes: 25,159, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Lyell Fuller: 23,365, level confidence: 68%.