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Miguel Rodriguez v Zahed Mohamed (Thu 24 May 2018)

Match won by Miguel Rodriguez. Result: 11-7,11-7,11-9.

Starting level for Miguel Rodriguez: 54,266, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Zahed Mohamed: 35,751, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Miguel Rodriguez to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Zahed Mohamed.

Miguel Rodriguez won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 43% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Miguel Rodriguez played 47% better than Zahed Mohamed in this match.

In this case, Miguel Rodriguez played at level 52,654 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Zahed Mohamed is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Miguel Rodriguez: 84%, Zahed Mohamed: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Miguel Rodriguez: 83%, Zahed Mohamed: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Miguel Rodriguez: 54,280, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Zahed Mohamed: 35,918, level confidence: 84%.