SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Simon Rösner v Gregory Gaultier (Thu 07 Jun 2018)

Match won by Simon Rösner. Result: 11-8,12-10.

Starting level for Simon Rösner: 57,585, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Gregory Gaultier: 64,582, level confidence: 58%.
Gregory Gaultier to win as he is currently playing 12% better than Simon Rösner.

Simon Rösner won all of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 28% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Rösner played 37% better than Gregory Gaultier in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Simon Rösner actually played at a level of 71,317 and Gregory Gaultier at a level of 52,147. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 24% to match this result.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 16% and 16% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Rösner changes to +13% and Gregory Gaultier changes to -16%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Rösner becomes +2.8% and for Gregory Gaultier becomes -3.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Series Finals' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Rösner: 86%, Gregory Gaultier: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Rösner: 69%, Gregory Gaultier: 61%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Simon Rösner: 59,087, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Gregory Gaultier: 62,729, level confidence: 61%.