SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jesse Engelbrecht v Scott Handley (Wed 27 Jun 2018)

Match won by Jesse Engelbrecht. Result: 11-4,11-5,11-9.

Starting level for Jesse Engelbrecht: 14,768, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for Scott Handley: 14,970, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Scott Handley to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Jesse Engelbrecht.

Jesse Engelbrecht won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jesse Engelbrecht played 83% better than Scott Handley in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jesse Engelbrecht actually played at a level of 20,132 and Scott Handley at a level of 10,981. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 36% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jesse Engelbrecht changes to +36% and Scott Handley changes to -21%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jesse Engelbrecht becomes +8.1% and for Scott Handley becomes -5.3%.

Given Jesse Engelbrecht's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 63% has been applied to his level change.

Given Scott Handley's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 64% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2018' so the adjustment for Jesse Engelbrecht is +3.2% and for Scott Handley is -2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jesse Engelbrecht: 69%, Scott Handley: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jesse Engelbrecht: 51%, Scott Handley: 62%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jesse Engelbrecht: 15,222, level confidence: 51%.
Final level for Scott Handley: 14,652, level confidence: 62%.