SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Charlie Lee v Jack McElvenny (Mon 30 Jul 2018)

Match won by Charlie Lee. Result: 11-5,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Charlie Lee: 27,799, level confidence: 45%.
Starting level for Jack McElvenny: 6,100, level confidence: 70%.
Charlie Lee to win as he is currently playing 356% better than Jack McElvenny.

Charlie Lee won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charlie Lee played 120% better than Jack McElvenny in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Charlie Lee was taking it easy by anything up to 39%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 8,694 and 27,799 without affecting his level.

In this case, Charlie Lee played at level 15,083 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Charlie Lee would normally have been playing at level 16,952 (based on typical behaviour), Jack McElvenny played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 12%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 5.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Charlie Lee changes to 0% and Jack McElvenny changes to +3.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Charlie Lee becomes 0% and for Jack McElvenny becomes +1.9%.

Given Jack McElvenny's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 8.5% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Warwickshire Summer League 2018' so the adjustment for Charlie Lee is 0% and for Jack McElvenny is +1.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charlie Lee: 67%, Jack McElvenny: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charlie Lee: 47%, Jack McElvenny: 58%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Charlie Lee: 27,757, level confidence: 47%.
Final level for Jack McElvenny: 6,158, level confidence: 58%.