SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Wael El Hindi v Ben Garner (Wed 01 Aug 2018)

Match won by Wael El Hindi. Result: 11-6,11-6,11-4.

Starting level for Wael El Hindi: 19,274, level confidence: 47%.
Starting level for Ben Garner: 13,238, level confidence: 27%.
Wael El Hindi to win as he is currently playing 46% better than Ben Garner.

Wael El Hindi won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Wael El Hindi played 106% better than Ben Garner in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Wael El Hindi actually played at a level of 22,940 and Ben Garner at a level of 11,122. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 19% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 16% and 16% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Wael El Hindi changes to +9% and Ben Garner changes to -16%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Wael El Hindi becomes +2.6% and for Ben Garner becomes -4.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Masters' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Wael El Hindi: 69%, Ben Garner: 52%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Wael El Hindi: 58%, Ben Garner: 44%.

Final level for Wael El Hindi: 19,769, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Ben Garner: 12,704, level confidence: 44%.