SquashLevels calculations
Julius Benthin v Julian Tomlinson (Sat 11 Aug 2018)
Match won by Julian Tomlinson. Result: 5-11,7-11,6-11.
Starting level for
Julius Benthin:
8,211, level confidence: 54%.
Starting level for
Julian Tomlinson:
15,066, level confidence: 62%.
Julian Tomlinson to win as he is currently playing
83% better than Julius Benthin.
Julian Tomlinson won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Julian Tomlinson played
83% better than Julius Benthin in this match.
In this case, Julian Tomlinson played at level 15,054 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Julius Benthin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Julian Tomlinson: 79%, Julius Benthin: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Julian Tomlinson: 79%, Julius Benthin: 73%.
Final level for Julius Benthin:
8,211, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Julian Tomlinson:
15,066, level confidence: 79%.