SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Leo Au v Ivan Yuen (Fri 24 Aug 2018)

Match won by Leo Au. Result: 11-2,11-7,11-4.

Starting level for Leo Au: 38,148, level confidence: 53%.
Starting level for Ivan Yuen: 33,111, level confidence: 59%.
Leo Au to win as he is currently playing 15% better than Ivan Yuen.

Leo Au won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leo Au played 154% better than Ivan Yuen in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Leo Au actually played at a level of 56,625 and Ivan Yuen at a level of 22,307. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 48% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Leo Au changes to +44% and Ivan Yuen changes to -38%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Leo Au becomes +8% and for Ivan Yuen becomes -7.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Games' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Leo Au is limited to +5.3% and Ivan Yuen is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leo Au: 73%, Ivan Yuen: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leo Au: 49%, Ivan Yuen: 52%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Leo Au: 40,196, level confidence: 49%.
Final level for Ivan Yuen: 31,541, level confidence: 52%.