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Ramit Tandon v Satria Laksana (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-4,11-2,11-5.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 32,749, level confidence: 42%.
Starting level for Satria Laksana: 5,205, level confidence: 10%.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 529% better than Satria Laksana.

Ramit Tandon won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 200% better than Satria Laksana in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Ramit Tandon was taking it easy by anything up to 49%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 8,675 and 32,749 without affecting his level.

In this case, Ramit Tandon played at level 16,223 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Ramit Tandon would normally have been playing at level 16,855 (based on typical behaviour), Satria Laksana played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 3.9%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.5% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to 0% and Satria Laksana changes to +1.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes 0% and for Satria Laksana becomes +0.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 64%, Satria Laksana: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 45%, Satria Laksana: 22%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 32,700, level confidence: 45%.
Final level for Satria Laksana: 5,244, level confidence: 22%.