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Mahesh Mangaonkar v Andi Hasanudin (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Mahesh Mangaonkar. Result: 11-6,11-2,11-5.

Starting level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 32,498, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Andi Hasanudin: 8,624, level confidence: 10%.
Mahesh Mangaonkar to win as he is currently playing 277% better than Andi Hasanudin.

Mahesh Mangaonkar won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mahesh Mangaonkar played 154% better than Andi Hasanudin in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Mahesh Mangaonkar was taking it easy by anything up to 32%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,915 and 32,498 without affecting his level.

In this case, Mahesh Mangaonkar played at level 21,954 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Andi Hasanudin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mahesh Mangaonkar changes to 0% and Andi Hasanudin changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mahesh Mangaonkar becomes 0% and for Andi Hasanudin becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mahesh Mangaonkar: 81%, Andi Hasanudin: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mahesh Mangaonkar: 67%, Andi Hasanudin: 26%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 32,449, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Andi Hasanudin: 8,618, level confidence: 26%.