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Mahesh Mangaonkar v Natthakit Jivasuwan (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Mahesh Mangaonkar. Result: 11-0,11-6,11-2.

Starting level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 33,854, level confidence: 47%.
Starting level for Natthakit Jivasuwan: 4,064, level confidence: 51%.
Mahesh Mangaonkar to win as he is currently playing 733% better than Natthakit Jivasuwan.

Mahesh Mangaonkar won all of the games and 80% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 313% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mahesh Mangaonkar played 313% better than Natthakit Jivasuwan in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Mahesh Mangaonkar was taking it easy by anything up to 55%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 6,774 and 33,854 without affecting his level.

In this case, Mahesh Mangaonkar played at level 16,764 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Natthakit Jivasuwan is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mahesh Mangaonkar: 69%, Natthakit Jivasuwan: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mahesh Mangaonkar: 48%, Natthakit Jivasuwan: 50%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 33,803, level confidence: 48%.
Final level for Natthakit Jivasuwan: 4,058, level confidence: 50%.