SquashLevels calculations
Doug Chandler v Chris Hayden (Thu 13 Sep 2018)
Match won by Chris Hayden. Result: 9-11,6-11,13-15.
Starting level for
Doug Chandler:
1,845, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for
Chris Hayden:
2,632, level confidence: 46%.
Chris Hayden to win as he is currently playing
43% better than Doug Chandler.
Chris Hayden won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Hayden played
40% better than Doug Chandler in this match.
In this case, Chris Hayden played at level 2,577 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Doug Chandler is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Hayden: 68%, Doug Chandler: 70%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Hayden: 67%, Doug Chandler: 69%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Doug Chandler:
1,842, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Chris Hayden:
2,628, level confidence: 67%.