SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Stuart Macgregor v Andy Whipp (Tue 02 Oct 2018)

Match won by Andy Whipp. Result: 10-12,10-12,11-5,11-6,8-11.

Starting level for Stuart Macgregor: 17,686, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,071, level confidence: 53%.
Stuart Macgregor to win as he is currently playing 4% better than Andy Whipp.

Andy Whipp won 60% of the games and 48% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 9% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andy Whipp played 5% better than Stuart Macgregor in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andy Whipp actually played at a level of 17,847 and Stuart Macgregor at a level of 16,917. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 4.5% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andy Whipp changes to +4.5% and Stuart Macgregor changes to -3.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andy Whipp becomes +1.7% and for Stuart Macgregor becomes -1.3%.

Given Andy Whipp's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 34% has been applied to his level change.

Given Stuart Macgregor's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 35% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Andy Whipp is +0.9% and for Stuart Macgregor is -0.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Whipp: 73%, Stuart Macgregor: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Whipp: 69%, Stuart Macgregor: 83%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Stuart Macgregor: 17,599, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Andy Whipp: 17,272, level confidence: 69%.