SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Peach v Dallas Hayvice (Thu 04 Oct 2018)

Match won by James Peach. Result: 11-6,11-6,11-8.

Starting level for James Peach: 13,938, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Dallas Hayvice: 4,610, level confidence: 62%.
James Peach to win as he is currently playing 202% better than Dallas Hayvice.

James Peach won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Peach played 65% better than Dallas Hayvice in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that James Peach was taking it easy by anything up to 25%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 7,369 and 13,938 without affecting his level.

In this case, James Peach played at level 8,937 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that James Peach would normally have been playing at level 10,500 (based on typical behaviour), Dallas Hayvice played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 17%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 9.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for James Peach changes to 0% and Dallas Hayvice changes to +9.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for James Peach becomes 0% and for Dallas Hayvice becomes +3.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Winter 2018' so the adjustment for James Peach is 0% and for Dallas Hayvice is +2.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Peach: 81%, Dallas Hayvice: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Peach: 60%, Dallas Hayvice: 58%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Peach: 13,917, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Dallas Hayvice: 4,732, level confidence: 58%.