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Andy Whipp v Patrick Rooney (Tue 16 Oct 2018)

Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 11-9,4-11,5-11,0-11.

Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,405, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 27,850, level confidence: 90%. Set manually.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing 60% better than Andy Whipp.

Patrick Rooney won 75% of the games and 68% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 110% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played 53% better than Andy Whipp in this match.

In this case, Patrick Rooney played at level 26,638 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Andy Whipp is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 95%, Andy Whipp: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 93%, Andy Whipp: 79%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andy Whipp: 17,449, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Patrick Rooney: 27,920, level confidence: 93%.