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Baptiste Masotti v Lyell Fuller (Wed 17 Oct 2018)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-5,11-9,11-4.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 28,733, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Lyell Fuller: 23,562, level confidence: 66%.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 22% better than Lyell Fuller.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 83% better than Lyell Fuller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Baptiste Masotti actually played at a level of 35,230 and Lyell Fuller at a level of 19,217. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 23% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to +20% and Lyell Fuller changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes +4.5% and for Lyell Fuller becomes -4.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Chicago Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 76%, Lyell Fuller: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 62%, Lyell Fuller: 66%.

A final adjustment of +0.6% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 29,776, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Lyell Fuller: 23,076, level confidence: 66%.