SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andy Whipp v Peter Astbury (Fri 02 Nov 2018)

Match won by Andy Whipp. Result: 11-5,11-5,11-9.

Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,066, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Peter Astbury: 5,403, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Andy Whipp to win as he is currently playing 216% better than Peter Astbury.

Andy Whipp won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andy Whipp played 74% better than Peter Astbury in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Andy Whipp was taking it easy by anything up to 26%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,312 and 17,066 without affecting his level.

In this case, Andy Whipp played at level 10,877 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Andy Whipp would normally have been playing at level 12,607 (based on typical behaviour), Peter Astbury played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 16%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 8.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andy Whipp changes to 0% and Peter Astbury changes to +8.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andy Whipp becomes 0% and for Peter Astbury becomes +3.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Cheshire Senior Closed Championships' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Whipp: 87%, Peter Astbury: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Whipp: 64%, Peter Astbury: 64%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andy Whipp: 17,041, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Peter Astbury: 5,573, level confidence: 64%.