SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Robin Gadola v Patrick Rooney (Sun 11 Nov 2018)

Match won by Robin Gadola. Result: 11-7,11-7,12-14,7-11,11-9.

Starting level for Robin Gadola: 20,345, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 30,359, level confidence: 56%.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing 49% better than Robin Gadola.

Robin Gadola won 60% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 8% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Robin Gadola played 10% better than Patrick Rooney in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Robin Gadola actually played at a level of 26,016 and Patrick Rooney at a level of 23,741. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 28% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 22% and 22% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Robin Gadola changes to +22% and Patrick Rooney changes to -19%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Robin Gadola becomes +5.1% and for Patrick Rooney becomes -4.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Arena Uster Cup' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Robin Gadola: 70%, Patrick Rooney: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Robin Gadola: 55%, Patrick Rooney: 59%.

A final adjustment of +1.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Robin Gadola: 21,378, level confidence: 55%.
Final level for Patrick Rooney: 29,767, level confidence: 59%.