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Anthony Brindle v Oliver Pett (Tue 20 Nov 2018)

Match won by Oliver Pett. Result: 3-11,7-11,3-11.

Starting level for Anthony Brindle: 6,326, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Oliver Pett: 21,884, level confidence: 67%.
Oliver Pett to win as he is currently playing 246% better than Anthony Brindle.

Oliver Pett won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Oliver Pett played 154% better than Anthony Brindle in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Oliver Pett was taking it easy by anything up to 29%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 10,047 and 21,884 without affecting his level.

In this case, Oliver Pett played at level 16,058 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Anthony Brindle is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Oliver Pett: 82%, Anthony Brindle: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Oliver Pett: 70%, Anthony Brindle: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Anthony Brindle: 6,317, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Oliver Pett: 21,851, level confidence: 70%.