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Luke McFarland v Andy Whipp (Tue 27 Nov 2018)

Match won by Andy Whipp. Result: 5-11,5-11,12-14.

Starting level for Luke McFarland: 9,657, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,091, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Andy Whipp to win as he is currently playing 77% better than Luke McFarland.

Andy Whipp won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 64% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andy Whipp played 64% better than Luke McFarland in this match.

In this case, Andy Whipp played at level 15,802 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Luke McFarland is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Whipp: 88%, Luke McFarland: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Whipp: 84%, Luke McFarland: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Luke McFarland: 9,643, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Andy Whipp: 17,065, level confidence: 84%.