SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Scott Handley v Robbie Temple (Wed 05 Dec 2018)

Match won by Robbie Temple. Result: 6-11,11-13,5-11.

Starting level for Scott Handley: 15,738, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Starting level for Robbie Temple: 16,534, level confidence: 60%.
Robbie Temple to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Scott Handley.

Robbie Temple won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 59% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Robbie Temple played 58% better than Scott Handley in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Robbie Temple actually played at a level of 20,260 and Scott Handley at a level of 12,844. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 23% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Robbie Temple changes to +22% and Scott Handley changes to -15%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Robbie Temple becomes +5.3% and for Scott Handley becomes -3.9%.

Given Robbie Temple's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 33% has been applied to his level change.

Given Scott Handley's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 31% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Robbie Temple is +3% and for Scott Handley is -2.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Robbie Temple: 77%, Scott Handley: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Robbie Temple: 63%, Scott Handley: 75%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Scott Handley: 15,377, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Robbie Temple: 17,002, level confidence: 63%.