SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Alex Preston v Scott Handley (Thu 06 Dec 2018)

Match won by Alex Preston. Result: 8-11,7-11,11-8,11-3,11-0.

Starting level for Alex Preston: 7,321, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Scott Handley: 15,256, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Scott Handley to win as he is currently playing 108% better than Alex Preston.

Alex Preston won 60% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alex Preston played 19% better than Scott Handley in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Alex Preston actually played at a level of 11,522 and Scott Handley at a level of 9,694. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 57% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 37% and 37% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Alex Preston changes to +37% and Scott Handley changes to -36%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Alex Preston becomes +9.7% and for Scott Handley becomes -8%.

Given Alex Preston's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 8.9% has been applied to his level change.

Given Scott Handley's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 30% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Alex Preston is +6.6% and for Scott Handley is -4.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alex Preston: 85%, Scott Handley: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alex Preston: 54%, Scott Handley: 55%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alex Preston: 7,796, level confidence: 54%.
Final level for Scott Handley: 14,583, level confidence: 55%.