SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Leo Au v Vikram Malhotra (Tue 04 Dec 2018)

Match won by Leo Au. Result: 11-6,12-10,11-5.

Starting level for Leo Au: 39,304, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 30,157, level confidence: 65%.
Leo Au to win as he is currently playing 30% better than Vikram Malhotra.

Leo Au won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leo Au played 62% better than Vikram Malhotra in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Leo Au actually played at a level of 43,807 and Vikram Malhotra at a level of 27,057. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 10% and 10% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Leo Au changes to +7.7% and Vikram Malhotra changes to -10%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Leo Au becomes +2% and for Vikram Malhotra becomes -2.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Black Ball Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leo Au: 92%, Vikram Malhotra: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leo Au: 83%, Vikram Malhotra: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Leo Au: 39,966, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 29,594, level confidence: 73%.