SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lyell Fuller v David Baillargeon (Thu 06 Dec 2018)

Match won by Lyell Fuller. Result: 11-9,11-6,11-5.

Starting level for Lyell Fuller: 23,114, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for David Baillargeon: 22,556, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Lyell Fuller to win as he is currently playing 2% better than David Baillargeon.

Lyell Fuller won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lyell Fuller played 65% better than David Baillargeon in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Lyell Fuller actually played at a level of 29,330 and David Baillargeon at a level of 17,776. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 27% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Lyell Fuller changes to +27% and David Baillargeon changes to -26%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Lyell Fuller becomes +5.8% and for David Baillargeon becomes -5.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Securian Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that David Baillargeon is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lyell Fuller: 89%, David Baillargeon: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lyell Fuller: 70%, David Baillargeon: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lyell Fuller: 24,303, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for David Baillargeon: 21,504, level confidence: 71%.