Peter Creed v Srikar Mummidi (Thu 13 Dec 2018)
Match won by Peter Creed. Result: 11-7,11-4,11-3.
Starting level for
Peter Creed:
26,477, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for
Srikar Mummidi:
8,714, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Peter Creed to win as he is currently playing
204% better than Srikar Mummidi.
Peter Creed won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Peter Creed played
136% better than Srikar Mummidi in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Peter Creed was taking it easy by anything up to 25%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 13,930 and 26,477 without affecting his level.
In this case, Peter Creed played at level 20,540 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Srikar Mummidi is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Peter Creed: 83%, Srikar Mummidi: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Peter Creed: 73%, Srikar Mummidi: 82%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Peter Creed:
26,437, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Srikar Mummidi:
8,701, level confidence: 82%.