SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Robert Luke v Scott Handley (Thu 10 Jan 2019)

Match won by Scott Handley. Result: 8-11,9-11,5-11.

Starting level for Robert Luke: 9,393, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Scott Handley: 15,800, level confidence: 53%.
Scott Handley to win as he is currently playing 68% better than Robert Luke.

Scott Handley won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Scott Handley played 52% better than Robert Luke in this match.

In this case, Scott Handley played at level 14,437 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Scott Handley would normally have been playing at level 14,633 (based on typical behaviour), Robert Luke played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Scott Handley changes to 0% and Robert Luke changes to +0.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Scott Handley becomes 0% and for Robert Luke becomes +0.4%.

Given Robert Luke's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 15% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Hertfordshire Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Scott Handley is 0% and for Robert Luke is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Scott Handley: 73%, Robert Luke: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Scott Handley: 69%, Robert Luke: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Robert Luke: 9,404, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Scott Handley: 15,776, level confidence: 69%.