SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andy Whipp v Stuart Macgregor (Tue 15 Jan 2019)

Match won by Stuart Macgregor. Result: 11-9,6-11,7-11,4-11.

Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,013, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Stuart Macgregor: 17,889, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Stuart Macgregor to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Andy Whipp.

Stuart Macgregor won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Stuart Macgregor played 33% better than Andy Whipp in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Stuart Macgregor actually played at a level of 20,138 and Andy Whipp at a level of 15,113. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Stuart Macgregor changes to +12% and Andy Whipp changes to -11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Stuart Macgregor becomes +3.3% and for Andy Whipp becomes -3.1%.

Given Stuart Macgregor's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 35% has been applied to his level change.

Given Andy Whipp's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 34% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Stuart Macgregor is +1.8% and for Andy Whipp is -1.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Stuart Macgregor: 85%, Andy Whipp: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Stuart Macgregor: 75%, Andy Whipp: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andy Whipp: 16,702, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Stuart Macgregor: 18,186, level confidence: 75%.