SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Peach v Ricky Davies (Thu 17 Jan 2019)

Match won by James Peach. Result: 11-9,11-6,6-11,11-9.

Starting level for James Peach: 15,191, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Ricky Davies: 12,749, level confidence: 51%.
James Peach to win as he is currently playing 19% better than Ricky Davies.

James Peach won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Peach played 21% better than Ricky Davies in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like James Peach actually played at a level of 15,278 and Ricky Davies at a level of 12,676. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for James Peach changes to +0.4% and Ricky Davies changes to -0.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for James Peach becomes +0.2% and for Ricky Davies becomes 0%.

Given James Peach's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 30% has been applied to his level change.

Given Ricky Davies's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 24% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Spring 2019' so the adjustment for James Peach is 0% and for Ricky Davies is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Peach: 82%, Ricky Davies: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Peach: 82%, Ricky Davies: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Peach: 15,184, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Ricky Davies: 12,711, level confidence: 71%.