SquashLevels calculations
Mike Harris v James Snell (Thu 17 Jan 2019)
Match won by Mike Harris. Result: 11-9,12-10,11-6.
Starting level for
Mike Harris:
18,524, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for
James Snell:
12,891, level confidence: 40%.
Mike Harris to win as he is currently playing
44% better than James Snell.
Mike Harris won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mike Harris played
42% better than James Snell in this match.
In this case, Mike Harris played at level 18,340 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, James Snell is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mike Harris: 85%, James Snell: 63%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mike Harris: 85%, James Snell: 63%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Mike Harris:
18,496, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for James Snell:
12,872, level confidence: 63%.