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Jonathan Gliddon v Mike Harris (Tue 29 Jan 2019)

Match won by Mike Harris. Result: 6-11,5-11,4-11.

Starting level for Jonathan Gliddon: 7,673, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Mike Harris: 18,473, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Mike Harris to win as he is currently playing 141% better than Jonathan Gliddon.

Mike Harris won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mike Harris played 120% better than Jonathan Gliddon in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Mike Harris was taking it easy by anything up to 18%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 11,974 and 18,473 without affecting his level.

In this case, Mike Harris played at level 16,881 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jonathan Gliddon is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mike Harris: 90%, Jonathan Gliddon: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mike Harris: 86%, Jonathan Gliddon: 82%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jonathan Gliddon: 7,662, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Mike Harris: 18,445, level confidence: 86%.