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Ramit Tandon v Lyell Fuller (Fri 01 Feb 2019)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-6,11-5,11-2.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 37,267, level confidence: 53%.
Starting level for Lyell Fuller: 23,811, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 57% better than Lyell Fuller.

Ramit Tandon won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 154% better than Lyell Fuller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 47,461 and Lyell Fuller at a level of 18,697. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 27% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 21% and 21% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +21% and Lyell Fuller changes to -15%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +4.4% and for Lyell Fuller becomes -3.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Seattle Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 73%, Lyell Fuller: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 57%, Lyell Fuller: 67%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 38,593, level confidence: 57%.
Final level for Lyell Fuller: 23,163, level confidence: 67%.