SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Peter Marshall v Martin Gibson (Sat 16 Feb 2019)

Match won by Peter Marshall. Result: 11-3,11-9,11-4.

Starting level for Peter Marshall: 16,224, level confidence: 63%.
Starting level for Martin Gibson: 10,246, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Peter Marshall to win as he is currently playing 58% better than Martin Gibson.

Peter Marshall won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Peter Marshall played 106% better than Martin Gibson in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Peter Marshall actually played at a level of 18,516 and Martin Gibson at a level of 8,978. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 11.1% and 11.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Peter Marshall changes to +11.1% and Martin Gibson changes to -8.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Peter Marshall becomes +3.1% and for Martin Gibson becomes -2.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'AJ Bell British National Masters Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Peter Marshall: 79%, Martin Gibson: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Peter Marshall: 70%, Martin Gibson: 80%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Peter Marshall: 16,701, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Martin Gibson: 10,026, level confidence: 80%.