SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Harry Falconer v Martin Ross (Wed 13 Feb 2019)

Match won by Harry Falconer. Result: 11-5,11-7,11-6.

Starting level for Harry Falconer: 19,507, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Starting level for Martin Ross: 10,739, level confidence: 68%.
Harry Falconer to win as he is currently playing 82% better than Martin Ross.

Harry Falconer won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Harry Falconer played 83% better than Martin Ross in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Harry Falconer actually played at a level of 19,597 and Martin Ross at a level of 10,689. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.5% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.3% and 0.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Harry Falconer changes to 0% and Martin Ross changes to -0.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Harry Falconer becomes +0.1% and for Martin Ross becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'AJ Bell National Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Harry Falconer: 92%, Martin Ross: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Harry Falconer: 91%, Martin Ross: 82%.

Final level for Harry Falconer: 19,531, level confidence: 91%.
Final level for Martin Ross: 10,721, level confidence: 82%.