SquashLevels calculations
Patrick Rooney v Lewis Walters (Wed 13 Mar 2019)
Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 13-11,9-11,11-0,11-5.
Starting level for
Patrick Rooney:
26,265, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Lewis Walters:
18,654, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing
41% better than Lewis Walters.
Patrick Rooney won 75% of the games and 62% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 63% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played
38% better than Lewis Walters in this match.
In this case, Patrick Rooney played at level 25,654 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Lewis Walters is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 78%, Lewis Walters: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 77%, Lewis Walters: 86%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Patrick Rooney:
26,226, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Lewis Walters:
18,626, level confidence: 86%.