SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Peter Creed v Christopher Gordon (Wed 24 Apr 2019)

Match won by Peter Creed. Result: 11-6,11-9,11-6.

Starting level for Peter Creed: 25,985, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Christopher Gordon: 22,651, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Peter Creed to win as he is currently playing 15% better than Christopher Gordon.

Peter Creed won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Peter Creed played 56% better than Christopher Gordon in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Peter Creed actually played at a level of 30,344 and Christopher Gordon at a level of 19,397. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 17% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Peter Creed changes to +16% and Christopher Gordon changes to -12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Peter Creed becomes +3.7% and for Christopher Gordon becomes -3.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Irish Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Peter Creed: 76%, Christopher Gordon: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Peter Creed: 65%, Christopher Gordon: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Peter Creed: 26,787, level confidence: 65%.
Final level for Christopher Gordon: 22,069, level confidence: 73%.