Adrian Waller v Bernat Jaume (Sat 27 Apr 2019)
Match won by Adrian Waller. Result: 11-9,11-7,11-6.
Starting level for
Adrian Waller:
45,320, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Bernat Jaume:
27,860, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Adrian Waller to win as he is currently playing
63% better than Bernat Jaume.
Adrian Waller won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Adrian Waller played
52% better than Bernat Jaume in this match.
In this case, Adrian Waller played at level 42,292 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Bernat Jaume is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.
Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Adrian Waller changes to 0% and Bernat Jaume changes to 0%.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Adrian Waller: 90%, Bernat Jaume: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Adrian Waller: 87%, Bernat Jaume: 86%.
A final adjustment of +0.6% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Adrian Waller:
45,396, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Bernat Jaume:
28,159, level confidence: 86%.