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James Peach v Jean-Pierre Brits (Tue 30 Apr 2019)

Match won by Jean-Pierre Brits. Result: 10-12,4-11,6-11.

Starting level for James Peach: 16,200, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jean-Pierre Brits: 22,141, level confidence: 59%.
Jean-Pierre Brits to win as he is currently playing 37% better than James Peach.

Jean-Pierre Brits won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 70% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jean-Pierre Brits played 70% better than James Peach in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jean-Pierre Brits actually played at a level of 24,693 and James Peach at a level of 14,526. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 12% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 9.8% and 9.8% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jean-Pierre Brits changes to +9.8% and James Peach changes to -7.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jean-Pierre Brits becomes +2.7% and for James Peach becomes -2.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for '2019 Keith Grainger Memorial UCT Squash Open Championships (PSA)' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jean-Pierre Brits: 77%, James Peach: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jean-Pierre Brits: 69%, James Peach: 77%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Peach: 15,822, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Jean-Pierre Brits: 22,729, level confidence: 69%.