Edmon Lopez Moller v Benjamin Aubert (Fri 10 May 2019)
Match won by Edmon Lopez Moller. Result: 11-7,6-11,11-5,11-9.
Starting level for
Edmon Lopez Moller:
36,955, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Benjamin Aubert:
29,395, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Edmon Lopez Moller to win as he is currently playing
26% better than Benjamin Aubert.
Edmon Lopez Moller won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 22% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Edmon Lopez Moller played
24% better than Benjamin Aubert in this match.
In this case, Edmon Lopez Moller played at level 36,441 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Benjamin Aubert is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Edmon Lopez Moller: 90%, Benjamin Aubert: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Edmon Lopez Moller: 89%, Benjamin Aubert: 92%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Edmon Lopez Moller:
36,963, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Benjamin Aubert:
29,561, level confidence: 92%.