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Richie Fallows v Angus Gillams (Sun 26 May 2019)

Match won by Richie Fallows. Result: 7-11,11-6,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Richie Fallows: 30,788, level confidence: 47%.
Starting level for Angus Gillams: 22,987, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Richie Fallows to win as he is currently playing 34% better than Angus Gillams.

Richie Fallows won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 48% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Richie Fallows played 33% better than Angus Gillams in this match.

In this case, Richie Fallows played at level 30,490 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Angus Gillams is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Richie Fallows: 69%, Angus Gillams: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Richie Fallows: 68%, Angus Gillams: 88%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Richie Fallows: 30,811, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Angus Gillams: 23,052, level confidence: 88%.